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Event Calendar

{{年份}}
08
04
upgrade Solana Firedancer

Independent validator client goes live on mainnet

28
03
unlock Arbitrum Token Unlock

92 million ARB released

15
04
halving Bitcoin Halving

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22
03
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Circulating supply increases by about 2%

10
05
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18
03
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Team and early investor shares released

12
05
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Block reward halving event

30
04
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Improves data availability sampling efficiency

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$2,455.85
1
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1
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$11.71

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News

The Pre-IPO Perpetual Gambit: Hyperliquid’s Bid to Redefine Price Discovery

CryptoCat

Last week, a letter landed on the SEC’s desk that didn’t ask for permission—it asked for a paradigm shift. Hyperliquid Policy Center, alongside the mysterious trade[XYZ], proposed that pre-IPO perpetual markets should be recognized as a legitimate public price discovery tool. Not a derivative. Not a loophole. A tool.

Trust is no longer a promise; it’s a protocol. But here, the protocol is asking a regulator to bless a market that doesn’t exist yet.

I’ve spent years watching DeFi projects beg for regulatory clarity from the sidelines. Hyperliquid did something different: they walked into the room and handed the SEC a blueprint. That’s not a capitulation—it’s a power move.

Let’s unpack what this actually means, because the market is already misreading the signal.


Context: The Decentralization Philosophy Behind the Ask

Hyperliquid isn’t just another perpetual swap DEX. It’s a self-built L1 with an order book that rivals centralized exchanges in throughput. The team has always operated with a semi-anonymous edge, but the launch of the Policy Center earlier this year signaled a shift: they were ready to play the long game of institutional integration.

Pre-IPO perpetuals are a natural extension of the crypto-native ethos. Traditional pre-IPO trading is opaque, gated, and illiquid—controlled by a handful of OTC desks and private marketplaces like Forge Global. The average investor gets zero access to price discovery until the company IPOs, and by then, the insiders have already priced in their exit.

Hyperliquid’s proposal flips that. A perpetual contract on a pre-IPO asset—say, a SpaceX or Stripe valuation—would create a continuous, transparent price feed. Anyone with a wallet could speculate on the future value of a private company, and more importantly, that price would be visible to the world.

Code is law, but empathy is the interface. The empathy here is for the retail investor who’s been locked out of the most lucrative growth phase of modern companies. The law is the SEC’s jurisdiction.

But the proposal isn’t just about access. It’s about redefining what a “price discovery tool” even means in a world where most capital is still sitting in TradFi’s black boxes. The SEC has spent years fighting to classify tokens as securities. Hyperliquid is saying: fine, let’s build a security derivative that’s transparent, on-chain, and self-regulated. We’ll do the compliance work—just give us the framework.


Core: The Tech-Values Analysis – Why This Matters More Than You Think

Let’s get technical. The hardest part of any pre-IPO perpetual is the oracle. How do you price a company that has no public ticker? Hyperliquid’s existing infrastructure relies on a custom order book and a fast L1, but pre-IPO assets require a different kind of data aggregation. You’d need multiple OTC quote sources, private secondary market prints, and maybe even a valuation model—all fed into a smart contract that settles funding rates every hour.

Based on my experience auditing DeFi protocols, I can tell you that this is a nightmare of composability. The margin for error is razor-thin. One manipulated quote from a low-liquidity OTC desk could cascade into a liquidation storm. Hyperliquid would need to build a reputation-based oracle system that’s never been done before.

But here’s the contrarian insight: the technical difficulty is actually the point. Hyperliquid isn’t proposing a product tomorrow. They’re proposing a standard. By engaging the SEC now, they’re forcing the conversation about what constitutes a “fair” price in a market that has no natural equilibrium. If the SEC bites, Hyperliquid becomes the default infrastructure for tokenized private equity. If they don’t, Hyperliquid still wins because they’ve positioned themselves as the responsible actor in a sea of cowboys.

We didn’t build this to replace Wall Street overnight. We built it to show that Wall Street’s tools can exist on a public blockchain. The pre-IPO perpetual is the ultimate proof of concept: if you can price a private company on-chain, you can price anything.

And that’s the core value proposition. Hyperliquid is using the pre-IPO perpetual as a wedge to crack open the entire private capital market. The SEC’s response will determine whether that crack becomes a canyon or a hairline fracture.


Contrarian: The Pragmatism Test – Is This a Trojan Horse?

Let’s be honest: the cynic in me sees this as a regulatory shield. Hyperliquid’s core business—perpetual swaps on crypto assets—is already living in a grey area. By proactively engaging the SEC on a new, high-profile product, they’re buying goodwill. They’re saying, “Look, we’re the good guys. We want to be regulated. Don’t come after our existing operations.”

It’s a classic regulatory arbitrage: propose something so novel and ambitious that the regulator spends months just figuring out what to call it, while the core business continues uninterrupted.

But there’s a deeper risk. The SEC could interpret this as a challenge. If they view the pre-IPO perpetual as an unregistered security derivative, they might not just reject the proposal—they might investigate Hyperliquid’s entire platform. The very act of asking for permission could trigger the scrutiny they were trying to avoid.

I learned to stop preaching and start listening during my burnout in 2022. And when I listen to the market now, I hear a lot of noise about “institutional adoption” but very little about the actual cost of compliance. Pre-IPO perpetuals would require KYC on every trade, restricted access for US retail, and a legal entity that can be sued. Hyperliquid’s semi-anonymous team would have to step into the light. That’s not a small ask.

Trustless systems require trusting relationships. The irony is that to build a trustless pre-IPO market, you need a lot of trust in the people running the oracle and the legal wrapper. Hyperliquid is betting that the SEC will see the value of transparency over the risk of innovation. I’m not so sure.


Takeaway: The Vision Forward

This proposal is a bet on the future of finance being built on chains, not in boardrooms. Whether the SEC says yes, no, or “we’ll get back to you,” Hyperliquid has already changed the conversation.

The pivot wasn’t about technology; it was about legitimacy. By framing a pre-IPO perpetual as a price discovery tool, Hyperliquid is asking a fundamental question: who gets to decide what a company is worth? The answer, if they succeed, will be the market—the real market, on-chain, with everyone watching.

That’s a future worth fighting for. But the fight is just beginning.

Fear & Greed

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Market Sentiment

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